Weekly Signal Ledger — 2026-W40

2026-W40 — Counting Rules

This is the week 2026-W40 ledger: every published signal, one line per signal, timestamp first. The table below is the record itself rather than a summary of it, so a row that lost sits in the same column and the same typeface as a row that won.

• Won — 43
• Lost — 59
• Half — 12
• Void — 14 (excluded from the denominator)

This ledger lists the signals that met the public publication threshold (EV band and per-fixture cap) out of everything the model settled this week — the same bar the live agent applies before a signal goes out.

Win rate = won ÷ (won + lost + half) — that is 43 ÷ (43 + 59 + 12). Void signals are struck from the denominator entirely: a postponed or cancelled fixture is not a result and does not belong in a record in either direction.

Counts and Formula, No Headline Number

You will not find a win-rate figure on this page. The pieces to build one are all here — four counts and the formula that combines them — and we do not compute the rate for you. The reason to hand the pieces over separately is simple: a number you calculate yourself from a table you can recount is checkable, and a number handed to you in a graphic is not.

How to Audit This Table

Every timestamp in the table corresponds to a live post from @Oddsflowteam_bot on Telegram, mirrored on X. Take the earliest row, open the feed at that timestamp, and work forward. The point of publishing the timestamp column at all is that it makes this check take minutes rather than trust.